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Prostate Specific Antigen (PSA) velocity predicts post-treatment Prostate Carcinoma outcome

 

Clinical question
Does the rate of rise of prostate specific antigen predict the outcome following radical prostatectomy for men with prostate cancer?

Bottom line

The rate of rise of prostate specific antigen is a strong independent predictor of outcome following radical prostatectomy for men with stage 1 or stage 2 prostate cancer. Specifically, a rise of more than 2.0 ng per milliliter per year is associated with lymp node metastasis and higher grade disease.This information may help guide follow-up and the use of adjuvant treatments in future studies.

Level Of Evidence
1b

Reference
D'Amico AV, Chen M-H, Roehl KA, and Catalona WJ. Preoperative PSA velocity and the risk of death from prostate cancer after radical prostatectomy. N Engl J Med 2004; 351: 125-35.

Study design:
Cohort (prospective)

Setting
Inpatient (any location) with outpatient follow-up

Synopsis
The prostate specific antigen (PSA) velocity is the rate of rise in PSA levels, and has been associated with the stage and grade of prostate cancer at the time of detection. In this study, 1804 men entered a prostate cancer screening program, were given a diagnosis of prostate cancer, and were treated with radical prostatectomy. Of this group, 1095 had a PSA test both preoperatively and 1 year earlier and did not undergo adjuvant hormonal therapy or radiotherapy. All men underwent radical prostatectomy. Most had relatively low PSA values: 43% had a level of less than 4.0 ng/mL; 52% had a level between 4 and 10 ng/mL. Most also had a low to moderate Gleason score (84% scored <= 6), indicating a less aggressive tumor. All had stage 1c (71%), 2a (24%), 2b (4%), or 2c (< 1%) disease. There is no mention of whether pathologists were blinded to the PSA scores. The median duration of follow-up was 5.1 years, and data were available for approximately 97% of patients. As with previous studies, a PSA velocity of more than 2.0 ng per milliliter per year was associated with lymph node metastasis, a more advanced pathologic stage, and higher clinical grade disease. It was also associated with a greater likelihood of recurrence (adjusted relative risk [ARR] = 1.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1 - 1.9), a higher rate of death from prostate cancer (ARR = 9.8; 95% CI, 2.8 - 34.3), and death from any cause (ARR = 1.9; 95% CI, 1.2 - 3.2). Regarding the risk of death from prostate cancer, this ARR (7.4) was similar to that for tumor stage 2 vs tumor stage 1c and greater than that for Gleason score 8 to 10 vs Gleason score 2 to 6 (ARR = 3.4). Among the 833 men with a PSA velocity of less than or equal to 2.0 ng per milliliter per year at diagnosis, only 3 died during the 5 years of follow-up, compared with 24 of 262 with PSA velocity of more than 2.0 ng per milliliter per year (0.4% vs 9.2%).

 

 

   

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